Analysis

Sign In
AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
MSFTStockNASDAQ
Microsoft Corporation
As of 6/9/2026, 10:25:07 PM
$403.94
-7.65 (-1.89%)
52W High
$555.45
52W Low
$356.28
Volume
22,923,891
Avg Volume
34,513,793
Beta
1.10

Price

Illustrative price series (seeded) — replace with the market data provider once connected.

Trend
Downtrend
Signal
Neutral
RSI (14)
44
Support
$356.77
Resistance
$488.02

Price below 50d & 200d averages. RSI 44 — neutral.

InvestAI Score
AI-powered multi-factor analysis
Hold
60
Score (0-100)
Confidence: 73% • Band: 54-66
Valuation57
Growth56
Quality88
Health62
Momentum33
Sentiment64

Factor Breakdown

Valuation
P/E
24.0 · pct 81
P/B
7.2 · pct 41
P/S
9.4 · pct 22
Earnings Yield
4.2% · pct 81
Dividend Yield
0.88% · pct 47
Growth
Revenue Growth
14.9% · pct 84
EPS Growth
15.5% · pct 59
Price Growth 1Y
-14.2% · pct 9
Growth Quality (EPS−Rev)
0.6pp · pct 53
Quality
Gross Margin
68% · pct 78
Operating Margin
47% · pct 91
Net Margin
39% · pct 91
ROE (proxy)
45% · pct 91
Margin Quality
0.58 · pct 91
Health
Debt / Equity
0.14 · pct 78
Current Ratio
1.28 · pct 47
Interest Cover (proxy)
4.21 · pct 78
Beta (stability)
1.10 · pct 41
Momentum
1M Momentum
-2.8% · pct 41
3M Momentum
-0.5% · pct 34
1Y Momentum
-14.2% · pct 9
Momentum Acceleration
12.1pp · pct 78
Proximity to 52W High
24% · pct 3
Sentiment
News Sentiment
Bullish · pct 97
Trend (3M annualized)
-2% · pct 34
Income Appeal
0.88% · pct 47
As of 6/9/2026, 10:25:07 PM

Score profile

Peer-relative, six dimensions at a glance.

60
Hold
ML Signal (1M)Up · 74%

Trained logistic model on real price features (912 samples, 62% train accuracy). Not advice.

Financial Overview

Valuation
P/E24.0
P/B7.2
P/S9.4
Market Cap$3.00T
Profitability
Gross Margin68.3%
Operating Margin46.8%
Net Margin39.3%
Growth
Revenue Growth14.9%
EPS Growth15.5%
Price Growth 1Y-14.2%
Financial Strength
Debt / Equity0.14
Current Ratio1.28
Beta1.10
Dividends
Div Yield0.9%
Payout Ratio20.6%
Performance
1M-2.8%
3M-0.5%
1Y-14.2%
Technical
Volume22,923,891
Avg Volume34,513,793
52W High$555.45
52W Low$356.28

DCF Valuation & Sensitivity

Model: FCF DCF (2-stage)

Standard two-stage discounted free cash flow: explicit growth then a terminal value.

Fair value (DCF)
$512.07
Margin of Safety
+21.1%
Signal
Undervalued

Top value driver: fcf0 — swings fair value the most.

Tornado — fair-value swing per assumption

Probabilistic Scenarios (5Y)

A distribution of outcomes, not a single price target.

break-even
median 0.45x
P5 · 0.16xP95 · 0.91x
97%
P(loss)
0%
P(≥2x)
0%
P(≥3x)

Claude AI Analysis

Grounded in this instrument's data, with citations and an honest confidence band.

Analyst Price Targets

Low
$336.26
Median
$545.44
High
$449.34
Avg Upside
+35.0%
FirmAnalyst · DateRatingTargetvs Price
Morgan StanleyA. Whitaker · 2026-01-10Strong Buy$449.34+11.2%
Goldman SachsR. Patel · 2026-02-11Buy$341.37-15.5%
JP MorganL. Nguyen · 2026-03-12Buy$361.67-10.5%
Bank of AmericaC. Dimitriou · 2026-04-13Hold$447.25+10.7%
WedbushD. Ives · 2026-05-14Sell$336.26-16.8%

Consensus is track-record weighted (illustrative). Replace with provider data when connected.

Historical Analogues

Closest historical profiles by multi-factor similarity.

GOOG
Similarity 0.98
AAPL
Similarity 0.97
NVDA
Similarity 0.91

What it does for your portfolio

Sign in to connect your holdings with this analysis.

Thesis status

Intact

All tracked assumptions currently hold.

News & AI Sentiment

Sentiment+37QoQ +0Bullish

Sentiment is statistically normalized (−99…+99) with a quarter-over-quarter delta — the change matters more than the level (AlphaSense/Bloomberg method).

Reid Hoffman Exits Microsoft Board A Decade After LinkedIn Sale — Stock Has Soared 570% - Benzinga
Neutral
Google News · recent
Is Microsoft (MSFT) One of the Best AI Stocks to Buy in June? - Yahoo Finance
Bullish
Google News · recent
Microsoft (MSFT) Signals Ambitions to Join the Top Tier of AI Labs - Yahoo Finance
Bullish
Google News · recent
Citizens Sees Microsoft (MSFT) AI Strategy Supporting Long-Term Upside - Yahoo Finance
Bullish
Google News · recent