AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Crunching the numbers…
Crunching the numbers…
Price above 50d & 200d averages. RSI 68 — neutral. Broke above its recent range.
Closest historical profiles by multi-factor similarity.
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An absolute −99…+99 blend of news tone and recent price momentum, with a quarter-over-quarter delta (the change matters more than the level). This differs from the peer-relative Sentiment dimension in the score above — which ranks news tone vs comparable names — so a name can read “Bullish” here on momentum while its score Sentiment sits lower vs peers. Per-headline tags come from a finance lexicon on the headline text only (not the full article) — a fast heuristic that can misread sarcasm or a mixed headline, so treat them as a rough cue, not a judgment.
Peer-relative, six dimensions at a glance.
Logistic model on real price features (980 real samples). A weak directional signal, not a forecast — see Track Record for the honest out-of-sample score. Not advice.
Banks, insurers, financials and REITs are valued on earnings power, book value or AFFO — not free cash flow — so a standard DCF does not apply.
A distribution of outcomes over 5Y, not a single price target.
Median 1.30x vs a diversified market’s 1.49x over the same horizon — this name’s outlook is below the market (both medians, so the comparison is fair).
| Regime | Chance | Return / year |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | 21% | +26% |
| Base | 45% | +6% |
| Bear | 21% | -4% |
| Stress | 8% | -22% |
| Ruin | 6% | -60% |
Why these numbers: the regimes center on an expected return of +6.1%/yr — the three sources of a stock's return: income (1.7% dividend) + earnings growth (+1.5%/yr, capped for prudence), anchored toward the 8% long-run market average (it trades near DCF fair value, so no valuation tilt). The band's width comes from 25% realized volatility — modeled log-normally with the volatility drag and fat tails priced in, plus uncertainty in the estimate itself, so it widens correctly over longer horizons. Not advice.
Consensus median across 13 analyst price targets. Individual per-firm targets aren’t shown.