Analysis

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AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
COSTStockNASDAQ
Costco Wholesale Corporation
As of 6/9/2026, 10:16:25 PM
$969.88
-4.84 (-0.50%)
52W High
$1096.50
52W Low
$844.06
Volume
1,125,906.114
Avg Volume
1,981,238
Beta
0.87

Price

Illustrative price series (seeded) — replace with the market data provider once connected.

Trend
Sideways
Signal
Neutral
RSI (14)
16
Support
$850
Resistance
$1094.32

Price between its moving averages. RSI 16 — oversold.

InvestAI Score
AI-powered multi-factor analysis
Sell
33
Score (0-100)
Confidence: 71% • Band: 27-39
Valuation32
Growth40
Quality5
Health56
Momentum22
Sentiment51

Factor Breakdown

Valuation
P/E
48.7 · pct 12
P/B
12.8 · pct 22
P/S
1.5 · pct 91
Earnings Yield
2.1% · pct 12
Dividend Yield
0.55% · pct 34
Growth
Revenue Growth
8.2% · pct 47
EPS Growth
9.9% · pct 34
Price Growth 1Y
-4.5% · pct 16
Growth Quality (EPS−Rev)
1.7pp · pct 59
Quality
Gross Margin
13% · pct 3
Operating Margin
4% · pct 3
Net Margin
3% · pct 3
ROE (proxy)
3% · pct 3
Margin Quality
0.23 · pct 16
Health
Debt / Equity
0.25 · pct 59
Current Ratio
1.07 · pct 34
Interest Cover (proxy)
2.89 · pct 59
Beta (stability)
0.87 · pct 72
Momentum
1M Momentum
-3.9% · pct 28
3M Momentum
-2.8% · pct 16
1Y Momentum
-4.5% · pct 16
Momentum Acceleration
-6.7pp · pct 34
Proximity to 52W High
50% · pct 16
Sentiment
News Sentiment
Bullish · pct 88
Trend (3M annualized)
-11% · pct 16
Income Appeal
0.55% · pct 34
As of 6/9/2026, 10:16:25 PM

Score profile

Peer-relative, six dimensions at a glance.

33
Sell
ML Signal (1M)Up · 71%

Trained logistic model on real price features (912 samples, 62% train accuracy). Not advice.

Financial Overview

Valuation
P/E48.7
P/B12.8
P/S1.5
Market Cap$430.1B
Profitability
Gross Margin12.9%
Operating Margin3.8%
Net Margin3.0%
Growth
Revenue Growth8.2%
EPS Growth9.9%
Price Growth 1Y-4.5%
Financial Strength
Debt / Equity0.25
Current Ratio1.07
Beta0.87
Dividends
Div Yield0.6%
Payout Ratio26.1%
Performance
1M-3.9%
3M-2.8%
1Y-4.5%
Technical
Volume1,125,906.114
Avg Volume1,981,238
52W High$1096.50
52W Low$844.06

DCF Valuation & Sensitivity

Model: FCF DCF (2-stage)

Standard two-stage discounted free cash flow: explicit growth then a terminal value.

Fair value (DCF)
$1229.52
Margin of Safety
+21.1%
Signal
Undervalued

Top value driver: fcf0 — swings fair value the most.

Tornado — fair-value swing per assumption

Probabilistic Scenarios (5Y)

A distribution of outcomes, not a single price target.

break-even
median 0.73x
P5 · 0.33xP95 · 1.24x
82%
P(loss)
0%
P(≥2x)
0%
P(≥3x)

Claude AI Analysis

Grounded in this instrument's data, with citations and an honest confidence band.

Analyst Price Targets

Low
$901.85
Median
$1120.33
High
$1234.99
Avg Upside
+15.5%
FirmAnalyst · DateRatingTargetvs Price
Morgan StanleyA. Whitaker · 2026-01-10Strong Buy$1215.28+25.3%
Goldman SachsR. Patel · 2026-02-11Buy$901.85-7.0%
JP MorganL. Nguyen · 2026-03-12Buy$1055.60+8.8%
Bank of AmericaC. Dimitriou · 2026-04-13Hold$1234.99+27.3%
WedbushD. Ives · 2026-05-14Sell$1105.13+13.9%

Consensus is track-record weighted (illustrative). Replace with provider data when connected.

Historical Analogues

Closest historical profiles by multi-factor similarity.

INTC 2000
Similarity 0.90
Cycle peak — a decade of flat returns followed as growth normalized.
KO 1998
Similarity 0.70
Quality but very expensive — flat for ~a decade as the multiple reset.
QQQ
Similarity 0.68

What it does for your portfolio

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Thesis status

Alert — assumptions broken
pe < 35 — actual 48.716

News & AI Sentiment

Sentiment+37QoQ +0Bullish

Sentiment is statistically normalized (−99…+99) with a quarter-over-quarter delta — the change matters more than the level (AlphaSense/Bloomberg method).

Is Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) A Good Stock To Buy Now? - Yahoo Finance
Bullish
Google News · recent
Morgan Stanley Reiterates Buy Rating on Costco Wholesale (COST) Stock - Yahoo Finance
Bullish
Google News · recent
Costco Stock at $975: Here’s the $1,400 Case - TIKR.com
Neutral
Google News · recent
Modus Advisors LLC Acquires 1,436 Shares of Costco Wholesale Corporation $COST - MarketBeat
Neutral
Google News · recent